Mr. Isobar looks at June weather 2011.07.07

Written by David Green.


Only 0.65 of an inch of rain for the entire month of June?

“It’s not without precedence,” said National Weather Service climate observer in Morenci, George Isobar, “but it’s been a long time.”

The last ultra-dry June came in 1988 when only 0.55 of an inch fell. It finally broke loose in July and nearly every month for the remainder of the year was above normal in precipitation.

According to the data at Toledo Express Airport, 1952 was the driest since records have been kept, with only 0.12 falling.

“There is a big difference between this year and 1988,” Isobar said. “We’ve had a lot more rain leading up to the dry spell this time around.”

In 1988, only 11 inches of rain fell in the month leading up to June. That was below average. In 2011, we had twice that much—a whopping 22.45 inches prior to June.

“We’ll just have to see if Mother Nature responds like in 1988,” Isobar said. “That year we had five inches in both July and August and a total of 24 inches for the final six months of the year.”

The first week of July didn’t offer much, he said, at least not here. More than two inches fell Saturday night in some locations south of Detroit. And in Lenawee and Fulton? Not much of anything.

“At this point the forecast doesn’t look too promising for the next few days,” Isobar said. “If the rain finally kicks in, there will be some catching up to do.”

Isobar said there were nine days with precipitation last month, but only one of those rains produced a significant amount.

“We even had three thunderstorms,” he said, “but two of them were pretty much dry. It was an odd month.”

The mean temperature finished 2.0 degrees above normal in Toledo, despite seven days with a high in the 70s and one day with a high of only 69. Many of the other days produced some heat.

“We had five days in the 90s and three others in the high 80s,” Isobar said. “The high for the month came on the eighth at 97°.”

June’s low of 49 was recorded on the morning of the 15th.

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