George Isobar discusses October weather 11.05.08

Written by David Green.

By DAVID GREEN

It’s been a while since we’ve had a below-average month in the temperature department, says Morenci climate observer George Isobar, but that’s what we got last month.

For the first time since May, the average monthly temperature came in below what’s expected for this time of year, he said. February and March were much colder than average, but every other month has been a little warmer.

“It wasn’t much colder—just nine-tenths of a degree—but that final week of the month settled it,” Isobar said.

Prior to that, things were headed into the positive side after the two days in the 80s and another one at 79 in the middle of the month.

Along with that cold spell at the end came the first frozen precipitation of the season.

“I heard there were snowflakes before daylight, but I wasn’t up to see any,” Isobar said. “But I definitely saw the ice pellets that fell on the afternoon of Oct. 27. There was enough to turn the ground white in a few areas.”

That was the end of the frozen stuff, but not the frozen weather. The low temperature of 23° was recorded in the morning Oct. 30—the seventh low reading in the 20s for the month.

Precipitation came in about an inch and a half below normal at 1.53 inches. The most in a 24-hour period was .66 of an inch on Oct. 24.

“It was actually the driest October we’ve had since 1982,” Isobar said. “There have been others pretty close to that level, but it stands as the second driest since records were maintained in 1976.”

That evens things out a little from September, Isobar said, when 4.64 inches fell—a good inch above average.

To finish off the statistics from October, Isobar said the average wind speed, as measured at the Toledo National Weather Service office, was 6.3 miles an hour. The highest gust came in at 63 miles an hour back on Oct. 10.

“Sixty-three?” Isobar asks. “That should be a memorable day, but I don’t recall it. Must have been a local Toledo occurrence.”

November

“On toward winter we go,” Isobar said. “We’ve had our mornings in the 20s already, so what’s next?”

Looking through the records, it appears as though the first morning in the teens is coming up soon, Isobar said. The odds are better than 50 percent.

“In fact, there have been a pair of single-digit days over the last couple of decades,” he said.

Or maybe we’ll get lucky like in 2002 when the November low never sunk below 47°.

“Oh, wait, that’s no good. We were at 33° Sunday morning.”

And don’t forget the snow. Something measurable has come our way in every November but six of the last 33.

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